Here’s my thought
and the idea of this article (which I intended to be an essay but I don’t have that kind of energy – really this will be just be a preliminary brainstorm that I can consult later and convert into a professional essay if I ever, I don’t know, need to be taken seriously or something) is to explore the data and test the thought
but here’s the thought
Technological optimization in the industrial, manufacturing and engineering, etc. sectors will conspire with the failings of the universities and changing nature of the job market to revert the American way of life back toward its agrarian persuasion
That is, subsistent farming should come back
I said that already
So now, the task ahead of me
I must study the different industrial sectors and evaluate whether subsistent farming is 1) an advantageous alternative to industry & trade and 2) whether the American economy is actually reverting in that direction – which I think it is possible that it could but not plausible
Quick caveat: I’m not necessarily talking about subsistent farming in its strict definition. It could honestly just be an ensuing mindset – that is, independent production and entrepreneurialism become more commonplace as the economy concentrates its wealth in industries which require highly qualified workers. If technology optimizes every other labor field, especially manufacturing and extraction, the percentage of people equipped with the intelligence and skill for technical engineering and invention would remain small and all those workers who got laid off because they’re now worth the same as a robot and/or an algorithm would need somewhere to go
For all I know the spread of such a mindset and self-reliant, agrarian-leaning occupation could correlate (causally?) with a possible return to statehood and increased taxes on imports in the next few decades.
Other stuff: America’s things of leisure won’t disappear until the money does*, so the Service industry is obviously sticking around. That’s the lower middle class, it seems. Or it will be. Obviously, doctors in the medical field are upper class, while nurses can achieve, I think, with their education a solid middle class footing, but other service industry occupations like restaurants and retail find themselves closer to the ground in the pecking order and looking up at most of the money.
All of that to say, there are many places to go for individuals, and a return to an agrarian way of life… we might be too spoiled and lazy and dumb to go back
I think part of me is just in love with this romantic idea that technological progress can bring man back to the earth.
It’s probably a pretty dumb idea
Heaven knows I’m clueless and it’s a thought that certainly isn’t based on any credible knowledge of the economy
I’m gonna publish this now in the hopes that I’ll be motivated to study and figure some things out
and then write more about this of course
*the romanticism of what this article discusses is grounded in the thought that subsistent farming and GDP don’t have to be inversely proportional. I don’t know…